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Large American institutions such as Citigroup can expect to see the largest dividends, should the Federal Reserve approve US bank plans for payouts
As they await this week's stress test results, US banks face a dilemma their European counterparts can only dream of: what to do with a pile of excess cash?
The answer is expected to become clearer on Wednesday after US markets close, when the Federal Reserve weighs in on plans by large US banks to pay out dividends and buy back stock in the final part of the two-phase stress tests.
Large US banks are widely expected to get the green light on their plans after the Fed last week said all 34 banks it examined could withstand a severe recession.
If the Fed approves the banks' plans, payouts are expected to be especially rich at the largest American institutions, including Citigroup and Morgan Stanley, which analysts estimate could return all of their profits to shareholders.
"Banks will make significant increases in their payouts this year," predicted Richard Bove, an analyst at Rafferty Capital.
But he said the stream of dividends and buybacks have a downside: If companies are returning money to shareholders, it means they are not investing in their businesses.
"These guys don't know how to use it," he said. "They have excess funds sitting in the banks that are doing nothing."
- 'Red flag' -
The Fed released the first half of the bank stress tests last week, which revealed American banks hold $357 billion in excess capital, said Morgan Stanley analyst Betsy Grasek.
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By Laura Benitez and Gus Trompiz LONDON, Nov 14 (IFR) - Commodity giant Louis Dreyfus Company is expected to test investor appetite for riskier credits this week against a torrid market backdrop, courtesy of the brutal sell-off in government bonds that has followed Donald Trump's US election win. The European bond market has been shaken in recent days, with the 10-year German Bund yield rising to its highest level since January, and participants expect execution to be more challenged.
The delicate backdrop could make things tricky for the unrated company, which concluded investor meetings last week ahead of a potential bond deal. "The company is struggling with operating profits, their leverage is deteriorating, and there's no indication that things will get better in the near term," one investor who attended the London leg of the meetings last week said. Investor feedback for an expected 300m five-year trade is in range of mid to high 4%, for timing as soon as this week.
"It would have to have a 5% handle on it for us to be interested. The credit is an acquired taste, it's off-index and tricky and it's more like high-yield than investment-grade," the investor said. Louis Dreyfus's 4% December 2020 bond was bid at 401bp over mid-swaps on Monday morning, according to Tradeweb. The difference between its four-year and five-year CDS is around 60bp-65bp, indicating that fair value on any new bond would be in the 4.
19.06.2017 - Toby
Target Target is taking off on Wednesday after beating profit and revenue expectations for the third quarter. The retailer posted adjusted earnings per share of $1.04, well above analysts expectations of $0.83 per share. Additionally, revenue came in at $16.44 billion against projections of $16.30 billion. Net income was well above expectations at $600 million against the $472 million that Wall Street was expecting. "We are very pleased with our third quarter financial results, which reflect meaningful improvement in our traffic and sales trends and much stronger-than-expected profitability," said CEO Brian Cornell.
Following the news, Target's stock had jumped 9.3% to $78.10 a share, up $6.66 a share from its closing price on Tuesday, as of 7:38 p.m. ET.
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